In SEO, “Estimated Traffic” refers to the projected or approximated number of visitors a website or specific webpage receives over a particular time frame, typically a month. It’s a metric that provides insights into the potential visibility and reach of a website or a specific keyword within search engines.
Estimating traffic helps businesses and website owners gauge the effectiveness of their SEO efforts, and determine where there’s room for improvement. Here’s how estimated traffic is generally calculated:
Start by determining the monthly search volume for a particular keyword. This data can be obtained from SEO tools like Google Keyword Planner, SEMrush, Ahrefs, or Ubersuggest.
Depending on the position of a webpage on the search engine results page (SERP), you can assign an average CTR. For instance, websites that rank #1 on Google typically have a CTR of around 30%. This percentage decreases as you move down the rankings. There are several studies available online that provide average CTRs for different SERP positions.
Multiply the keyword’s monthly search volume by the average CTR for the position you are targeting or currently occupy.
For a more comprehensive estimate, consider repeating this process for all relevant keywords your page ranks for and summing up the results.
It’s worth noting that this method provides an estimate. Many factors, including the accuracy of the search volume data, shifts in CTR due to SERP feature changes, and fluctuations in rankings, can affect the actual traffic a site receives. Some advanced SEO tools might provide a more holistic view by aggregating data for all keywords a site ranks for, offering a consolidated estimated traffic metric.